Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1401.985524 1623.901653 1881.536549 2205.666745 2606.721761 3092.230184 3.733061e+03
2024-12-22 1083.117687 1356.389179 1709.053473 2208.684919 2917.405129 3918.199137 5.500227e+03
2024-12-29 934.769919 1229.568824 1636.839227 2261.908320 3238.767475 4787.618515 7.620936e+03
2025-01-05 795.456109 1082.049862 1497.155203 2171.815467 3304.812993 5270.222674 9.324913e+03
2025-01-12 695.142473 971.319115 1386.928449 2095.221828 3359.874532 5735.014809 1.121450e+04
2025-01-19 614.641486 877.678857 1286.067014 2010.084512 3372.168058 6115.571186 1.313232e+04
2025-01-26 584.808033 856.940077 1295.606647 2111.875825 3751.785000 7369.264610 1.802781e+04
2025-02-02 550.845625 824.766913 1280.503434 2164.566038 4046.679983 8558.968952 2.381532e+04
2025-02-09 516.217886 787.162101 1250.284390 2181.743618 4269.656578 9673.752081 3.056947e+04
2025-02-16 481.093376 744.830699 1205.951235 2162.336101 4404.198134 10618.335155 3.790052e+04
2025-02-23 462.304380 728.532289 1206.543522 2234.961408 4780.579878 12471.690472 5.250386e+04
2025-03-02 448.927279 720.203513 1220.616945 2338.776467 5270.659795 15008.690353 7.707407e+04
2025-03-09 429.858716 700.625702 1212.305465 2395.626220 5669.028906 17583.529052 1.116249e+05
2025-03-16 406.464306 671.040568 1180.947217 2394.108544 5904.970363 19747.672473 1.537376e+05
2025-03-23 391.146690 655.115088 1175.280212 2453.732588 6353.999937 23299.099363 2.389057e+05
2025-03-30 363.436732 613.092703 1110.566881 2353.560474 6250.208040 24076.200259 2.900108e+05
2025-04-06 339.636805 576.932149 1054.909337 2268.544665 6176.684364 25010.623371 3.586334e+05
2025-04-13 317.208590 541.941483 998.696983 2174.158342 6046.287679 25564.108134 4.306861e+05
2025-04-20 312.498064 541.662098 1018.099751 2287.022037 6720.643777 31934.616647 8.805975e+05
2025-04-27 303.965780 532.965993 1017.784685 2345.512864 7217.194132 37991.115528 1.765002e+06
2025-05-04 293.356282 519.204485 1004.510702 2364.591538 7565.291279 43596.516296 3.547285e+06
2025-05-11 280.957474 500.872356 978.910535 2343.036494 7733.242242 48028.548141 6.872553e+06
2025-05-18 275.519813 496.730767 986.316973 2423.730021 8410.638445 59242.101986 3.090748e+07